Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000116 0.000127 0.000140 0.000153 0.000169 0.000186 0.000205
2025-11-16 0.000092 0.000108 0.000127 0.000150 0.000178 0.000212 0.000254
2025-11-23 0.000076 0.000095 0.000117 0.000146 0.000184 0.000231 0.000296
2025-11-30 0.000068 0.000088 0.000114 0.000148 0.000196 0.000259 0.000350
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000083 0.000111 0.000151 0.000208 0.000287 0.000408
2025-12-14 0.000056 0.000077 0.000106 0.000148 0.000211 0.000303 0.000449
2025-12-21 0.000050 0.000070 0.000099 0.000143 0.000210 0.000312 0.000480
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000067 0.000097 0.000144 0.000218 0.000334 0.000534
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000064 0.000095 0.000144 0.000226 0.000357 0.000593
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000060 0.000091 0.000142 0.000229 0.000372 0.000639
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000143 0.000236 0.000394 0.000701
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000141 0.000237 0.000407 0.000747
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000052 0.000084 0.000140 0.000242 0.000428 0.000812
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000050 0.000081 0.000138 0.000244 0.000444 0.000872
2026-02-15 0.000028 0.000047 0.000077 0.000134 0.000244 0.000455 0.000922
2026-02-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000077 0.000136 0.000254 0.000487 0.001022
2026-03-01 0.000026 0.000044 0.000076 0.000139 0.000265 0.000524 0.001138
2026-03-08 0.000024 0.000042 0.000074 0.000136 0.000266 0.000537 0.001204
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000039 0.000070 0.000131 0.000261 0.000539 0.001242
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000038 0.000069 0.000132 0.000268 0.000568 0.001349
2026-03-29 0.000021 0.000037 0.000068 0.000133 0.000275 0.000599 0.001469
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000131 0.000277 0.000615 0.001553
2026-04-12 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000132 0.000284 0.000646 0.001681